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NatteringNaybob's avatar

Moriarty - To find you here Professor, is delightful and elementary.

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SteveBC's avatar

JP, this is all very cool, and it is a great exposition of the overall technique. Most of the basics are already in my head (for example, at one point I was reminded of Ilya Prigogine's work on systems trying to handle a rising input of energy and how they reorganize to greater complexity or dissolve into chaos).

Fortunately or unfortunately, I'm just an old guy sitting in a recliner with a computer with a browser, a mail program, and a few other bits of software. How do I *actually* do all this in a way I can sustain over time? How do you set up your work system so that you have your best chance of effectively using this system you've outlined?

Analyzing Nova Swans after they have come and gone isn't all that satisfying when what you really want is to be able to ride the tsunami in real-time or see the tsunami rising beforehand. At some point I think we would all like to have a look at the practicalities. Do you just hold it all in your head and write when something clicks for you, or do you have ways to get stuff out of your head into concrete systems and technical aids? :-)

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Moriarty's avatar

To achieve what you propose in the second paragraph you must adopt somewhat the akin of the black ops-special forces mindset. You grab what is useful, discard anything that isn't.

To say you use what you already habe familiarity with, what is easier to learn (some people already have decent to good knowledge on certain fields) so progression comes easie.

Adopting the Nova ðŸĶĒ framework, even if adopting said mindset, is a long term endeavor, the goal is to make it an habit, so you somewhat do it automatically, at a satisfactory level.

Linguistic analysis and taking advantage of current level language models.such as ChatGPT is good enough to give you a large edge over others.

To answer your question, I have made it a subconscious habit, yes, and I can hold an atypical amount of information in my head, something is always clicking and I am always restructuring the information. Some of my longer substancks where "written" like this :P.

But I have mentioned and emphasized multiple times anyone should make a habit of writing things down. Pen and paper :).

I used to have some "fancier" systems, back when I used to work in Intel, but I can do similar with just a computer, nothing fancy, not even an Algo. Again. Pen, paper and start using LLMs, they can be REALLY REALLY REALLY useful, for many endeavors. I hope this helps 😀

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SteveBC's avatar

Yeah, thanks. It all either has to be incredibly complex outside of you or it has to be mostly inside, meaning a good mind, a good memory, and an ability to see linkages. That isn't for everyone.

For decades I have kept a huge number of ideas on my mental "Possible" shelves. Lately, a lot of those "Possibles" have been moved over to the "Probable" and "Proven" shelves as more and more conspiracy theories have become conspiracy facts, LOL.

When I was younger, I often had difficulty answering people's questions. They thought they asked something simple and expected a quick and simple answer. However, their question would trigger a cascade effect like a burgeoning and sparkling spiderweb of suddenly interlinked ideas previously unconnected in my head. It was a visual as well as intellectual event. Now, at the age of 72, the visual cascade is smaller, but I can still "grok" large collections of facts and observations and Possibles and so on to see intriguing answers, how seemingly separate things are linked. And I enjoy seeing that in the work of others, which is one of the reasons I like reading your stuff and will enjoy the new sub stack.

I don't write down much of anything in paper form any more but use that medium as a meditation output and temporary record which I then transfer into my OmniFocus database where projects get developed and actions defined. I found with paper that I almost never could translate things into actions as the papers got older. But OmniFocus is all about "Getting Things Done" once a project is defined. Nothing gets lost in there, and actions get defined and not forgotten, though they may get postponed for years until the time is ripe. It has become a rich combination of a ToDo List and a Personal Information Manager.

I'm realizing that I need to simplify my outer responsibilities to give me more time to pursue my projects. I'm collating all sorts of medical information and projects so that once I have enough free time, I can pursue them effectively and set and maintain good health well into my 90s. At the moment I'm caring for my soon-to-be 99yo mother and fitting my own projects in and around that. I'll have mixed feelings when she Leaves, as I will miss her but will also be happy to have much of my life and time back to pursue projects that have had to be set aside for the past several years.

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Alberto Silva's avatar

BUT WHY? WHO? WHAT FOR?

"All steps below assume there is a group of individuals, organizations, or entities effectively aiming to exploit such events":

By infiltrating key positions of power or manipulating existing power dynamics:

=> clearly *all the Build Back Better crowd".

But *WHY* the suicidal thrust of this western clique, against mainly the west? while the rest of the world fares pretty well & organizes itself to limit the spread of the disaster.

- a demonic death wish? (the fabled illuminati)

- or just the freewheeling of the fantasies dreamed by old fanatic eugenicists, now all dead, but whose ideology & entrist cohorts still operate?

Wilfully sowing chaos we have seen clearly since 2001 or before, in "brown" countries.

Now the chaos is deliberately directed at the west.

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GregoryPatrick's avatar

Nice piece. Thank you.

You hinted at several 5th Generation Warfare elements but omitted new technologies which almost always redefine warefare. Iron, Calvary, Rockets, real-time intel, integrated battle field data management are things we know, but what about known unknowns? How has the balance of power been shifted by Quantum AI super computers? How significant was the capture of Jeffrey Epstein and his blackmail vaults? What other unknown unknowns are in play?

Thanks for getting me thinking ðŸĪ”

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Moriarty's avatar

Thank you. I tried to keep within specific fields, given the degree of complexity and how much further one can choose to go, so many subjects to research and read upon even superficially until the average or random person decides to settle down for X subjects and delve deeper.

In my other publication I wrote about AI quite a little bit (decided not to bring the articles to this one), but AI will clearly shift how wars are fought, but there is a lot of work left to be done, and given how governments are responding to AI, China might end up having the advantage.

Didn't they bury Epstein black books ?

The other unknowns are non-state players taking full advantage of cognitive warfare tactics, tools, and (going back to the start of the conversation) AI.

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GregoryPatrick's avatar

Non-state players are central. They have nukes, intelligence, satellites etc. but are being reigned in. I consider the enemy CIA, Mossad, UN, EU, ECB, FedRes, Google, FB, ISIS, CCP, Vatican.

vs

Trump, Xi, Putin & MBS.

Good fight card 👍

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